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Subject :  One weak assumption
posted by ETFan on Nov-28-2006 09:08pm
  I was worried because I didn't include time for the dealer to shuffle.  But on reflection, it's reasonable to include that as part of the time to play each hand.  It's more reasonable to do it that way than to have it add time each round, for example.  After all, a shuffle tends to occur after some given number of hands for a given penetration.
 
  There is one other slightly weak assumption:  I'm giving the dealer the same 12 seconds to deal each round and make the payoffs regardless of the number of hands in play.  We could just assume the dealer tends to joke around more with four spots in play instead of five.
 
  I'm not going to rework the calculation based on these little nits, unless there's an enormous groundswell. ;)  The really accurate way to work this out is to do a simulation with hard numbers for each timed variable.  I'm not aware of a simulator set up to do this.  I'll have to try to set up PowerSim to do this.  Hopefully sometime before Christmas.
 
ETF


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