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Subject :  Need more info
posted by ETFan on Nov-17-2006 07:04pm

MJ1 wrote:
>
> Mr Snyder,
>
> Somebody posted a question similar to this one a while back but you never commented on it. I revised the conditions of the game and am hoping you could share your opinion on this matter.
>
> Which of the following options is the best for a 6D game, typical rules (DAS, DA2, RS3, 75%Pen) with 3 other players at the table? All options below assume optimal betting with a fixed kelly-factor and multiple hand wagers that are adjusted for covariance.
>
>
a) To play one hand all the time... Increasing and decreasing the bets with the count....
> b) To play two hands at a time every time.... Increasing and decreasing the bets with the count...
> c) To play one hand and if the count goes up play two hands and increase the bets, of course having the same bet on both.
> d) To play two hands and if the count goes up play only one hand and increase the bets...


  It depends on how fast you play, and whether you're required to bet twice table minimum to play two hands.  It also depends on whether there's someone standing next to you eager to grab your second spot.

  These things can be worked out very precisely.  You just need the covariance between hands at a table (about 0.5 for two hands), number of players at the table, speed of all players (counters usually assume they play faster than other players, and can play two hands in less than twice the time for one hand), and bet spread -- including required minimums.

  But it's always better to play two hands in positive counts with others at the table, unless the edge is so tiny you can't afford the house minimumX2.  You want to eat more cards in positive counts when others are competing for those same high cards.

  And if you play two hands pretty fast, and you're concernd about time under the eye, then it's better to play two hands in negative counts, unless you have to pay 2Xmin on each hand.  But this is a much closer decision.

  I used to play a second spot, sometimes, just because there was some ploppie lurking behind ready to grab my spot.  I had to protect my second spot for the positive counts.  But this is very brazen.  I was like that playing red chips.

  Now, I know some successful black chippers who like to play THREE hands all the time with wild, crazy looking bet jumps.  But that's another story.  $20 on one hand, $300 on the other two.  That kind of thing.  ;)

ETF

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