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 Arnold's Blog |
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| Analyzing Your Results |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 07-29-2008 12:44 In a recent post on our Poker board, NDM wrote that he was quitting poker. He stated: “I have won a number of tournies in AC: Won two out of the last five entered. Won three local ones out of the last ten entered: small affairs ... ( Read more... ) |
| Shut the Fuck Up! |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 07-17-2008 14:29 About five hours into a recent tournament in the Venetian Deep Stack series, I got moved to a table where the chip leader was a quiet older guy who wasn’t playing many hands. In the first forty minutes or so that I was at that table, he limped into ... ( Read more... ) |
| Short Stack Blues |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 07-09-2008 14:29 In PTF2, I discussed the problem a severely short-stacked player faces when he finds himself heads up at a final table against an equally skilled but deep-stacked opponent. I provided an example where the short-stacked player has 12.5% of ... ( Read more... ) |
| Can You Really Know Your Edge at Futures Trading? |
| posted by Radar_O'Reilly on 07-03-2008 13:06 Every card counter I’ve ever talked to about futures trading immediately expressed concern over whether you could truly know your edge at futures trading. The source of their concern is the idea that back-testing may not predict the ... ( Read more... ) |
| Tom Waits Gets Lost in Translation |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 07-03-2008 12:08 Okay, so I’m driving along listening to NPR a couple of days ago and they mention that Scarlett Johansson (the actress) has just released a CD in which she sings ten songs by Tom Waits. Now, I’ve been a Tom Waits fan for years. The thing about Tom ... ( Read more... ) |
| Poker Tournament Micro-Climates |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 07-01-2008 12:28 In PTF2, I discuss the five phases of a tournament, with advice on how to recognize when one phase ends and the next begins. The minefield phase is generally defined as the phase that starts during the blind level when the blind-off time occurs. Play ... ( Read more... ) |
| Efficient Market Theory: Not So Efficient |
| posted by Radar_O'Reilly on 06-28-2008 10:43 Efficient market theory is a belief that it’s impossible to beat the markets because prices reflect all available information, and therefore, always trade at fair value. Efficient market theory underlies modern portfolio practice, such as index ... ( Read more... ) |
| Strong is Strong and Weak is Weak |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-27-2008 09:29 And Never the Twain Shall Meet... Except at the Poker Table The first great book on the psychology of poker, John Fox’s 1977 classic, Play Poker, Quit Work, and Sleep Till Noon, revealed that players who have strong hands will often ... ( Read more... ) |
| The WSOP Seniors Event |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-26-2008 12:27 I played in the $1K buy-in Seniors Event at the WSOP this year. This event has a different feel to it than most of the other NLH events. Limp, limp, limp, limp, check, check, check, bet, call, call. I made a comment about ten hands into the ... ( Read more... ) |
| The Futures Markets: Meet the Players |
| posted by Radar_O'Reilly on 06-25-2008 11:00 Just as you would want to know the types of characters you’re up against at a poker table, it pays to know the players behind the action in the futures markets. You can get a read on a player’s cards by know his betting patterns, and you can get ... ( Read more... ) |
| Online Poker: Breaking Out |
| posted by Syph. on 06-24-2008 11:40 I’ve been slugging it out online for a few years now. Corruption exists at all levels, from the top of the industry to the bottom of the players. It’s a stacked deck, and you have to expect this. Collusion, by far the most common practice, is simply ... ( Read more... ) |
| A Weird Blind Structure |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-23-2008 09:48 In PTF2, I have a section in Chapter 2 titled “Beware of Weird Blind Structures.” One of the weirdest I’ve ever encountered in any deep-stack event is happening right now in the Caesars Mega-Stack Series in Las Vegas. Buy-ins for these events range ... ( Read more... ) |
| Mark of an amateur: “If I fold, will you show?” |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-21-2008 09:39 Two players are heads-up in a big pot, and one player comes out with an oversized bet or raise. His opponent, after agonizing for a long time over the call-or-fold decision, asks, “If I fold, will you show?” This is one of the ... ( Read more... ) |
| Blackjack, Poker and Commodity Trading |
| posted by Radar_O'Reilly on 06-20-2008 09:09 There is no better preparation for commodity trading than a background in professional blackjack, poker, sports betting or online casino bonus hustling, and Arnold has asked me to blog here on this subject from time to time. First of ... ( Read more... ) |
| The French Connection |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-19-2008 09:44 About ten days ago, I did an on-camera interview for a French publisher who has a poker school, who had come to the Rio in Las Vegas specifically to interview well-known players and authors during the WSOP. I did the interview at my publisher’s ... ( Read more... ) |
| Scotty Nguyen's Aces |
| posted by Arnold_Snyder on 06-18-2008 10:32 In PTF2, I mention my great admiration for the Vietnamese players who have become a dominant force in no-limit hold’em tournaments, players like Men “the Master” Nguyen, Nam Le, John Phan, David “the Dragon” Pham, Tuan Le, and J.C. Tran. But until ... ( Read more... ) |