
COMPUTER POWER TO THE PEOPLE!! FROM ET FAN:


A Puzzle for Blackjack Players
by Arnold Snyder
(Blackjack Forum Vol. III #1, March 1983)
© Blackjack Forum 1983
I've got some puzzles here for true blackjack fanatics. If you like working
on puzzles, give them a try before looking at the answers. Some of these may
take a while to work out, but all of them can be solved with just the data
provided. (You don't have to refer to any other blackjack books.)
If you have an intriguing blackjack puzzle, send it in to Blackjack Forum (along with the solution), and if it's a good one, I'll publish it. If enough puzzlefreaks are out there, we may make this a regular feature.
1. You are playing on a team with two other counters. You are sitting in the
third base position. Your teammates are occupying two seats to your right at the
same table. You are the Big Player, and currently have a table limit $1000 bet
on the last spot. Your teammates are covering the other six spots with $10 bets.
One of your teammates is keeping the HiLo Count, and passes his running count
to you with a secret signal. You generally use this information to size your
bets. (The HiLo Count values 2s, 3s, 4s, 5s, and 6s, as +1, and counts 10s and
As as 1.) Your other teammate is keeping the Roberts unbalanced tencount
(which counts all nontens, including aces, as +1, and counts 10s as 2). He
also signals his running count to you, which you are generally only using to
make perfect insurance decisions. Since he is starting his count at 0, you
insure whenever his running count is greater than +4. Your job is to count the
exact number of cards played, and to keep a sidecount of aces. In this way, you
can aceadjust the HiLo Count for more optimal playing decisions, with an exact
true count.
The game you are playing is a singledeck game with Vegas Strip Rules and
late surrender. Because your two teammates had split and resplit pairs on three
of their secondround hands, by the time the dealer gets to you, there are only
6 cards which have not been played, including the burn card, the bottom card,
and the dealer's hole card. There are no remaining aces. You are holding a pair
of 6s vs. a dealer 8. You look to the HiLo counter, and he signals you that his
running count is 0. The unbalanced tencounter signals you that his running
count is 2. Should you stand? Hit? Double? Split? or Surrender?
2. After years of studying a Las Vegas dealer, you have finally figured out
her tell. (A "tell" is a mannerism which a dealer might unconsciously display
after checking her hole card, which would indicate to the aware player whether
the dealer was pat or stiff.) To your great joy, the tell is 100% dependable. To
your dismay, it requires a new counting system to decode. The dealer wears an
uncomfortable pair of contact lenses. Her eyes are often blinking and squinting
uncontrollably. What you have discovered is that she will indicate whether she
is pat or stiff, after checking her hole card, according to whether her left eye
or her right eye is twitch indicating the prediction, however, is the fact
thatwith every card she deals, she reverses her "indicator".hus, if her left eye
is indicating pat, and her right eye isindicating stiff, and any odd number of
cards are dealt fromthe deck, her left eye would now indicate stiff, and her
righteye would indicate pat. If an even number of cards are dealtfrom the deck
between n tells", however, then the left and right indicators remain the same as
for the last prediction.You are the only player at the table. You have been
dealt a pair of tens vs. her upcard of a ten. You watch for her tell, and soon
the twitching in her left eye indicates that she is stiff. You split and resplit
your tens, until you have four hands, consisting of 105, 108, 107, and 102.
She turns up her downcard, a 5, and hits it with a 4, thus beating all four of
your hands. Noting that you had $500 bet on every hand, the pit boss romps you
to dinner. The dealer gathers the cards and without reshuffling, deals another
round. This time, you receive a pair of 7s, vs. her upward of 9. Her right eye
is twitching. What is your best play?
3. On page 68 of Lawrence Revere's Playing Blackjack As A Business, Revere provides a chart of "The Fine Points of Basic Strategy.. Based on Julian Braun's computer analyses of the optimum basic strategy decisions for singledeck play, Revere advises that although the correct basic strategy is to hit 12 vs. a
dealer 3, you would be better off to stand on 12 vs. 3, if two of your cards
are: A3, A4, A5, A6, 24, 25, 26, 34, 35, 36, 44, 45, 48, or 57.
Instead of memorizing these 14 pairs, what simple rule could be substituted,
which, if followed, would enable you to play in 100% agreement with Revere's
advice. Note: there are 58 possible combinations of cards which would make up a
hand totaling hard 12. Your simplified rule would advise you to stand with and
only with the exact same combinations of cards as if you were following Revere's
rule, and using his 14 pairs to make decisions.
4. A new game has just opened up on the Vegas Strip: Blackjacarat. In this
game, all rules are exactly the same as in standard, singledeck, Vegas Strip
blackjack, except that you may place your bet on either the player's or the
dealer's hand. Note: since all other rules are the same, house rules are
followed in playing the dealer's hand, even when your money is bet on the
dealer's hand. Likewise, you make all decisions on the player's hand, regardless
of where your money is bet. You estimate that in the standard Strip game you can
get an edge of about 1% over the house from card counting with a 1to3 spread.
Approximately what kind of an edge could you get in Blackjacarat using the
optimum strategy, and the same spread? a) 2% b) 4% c)50% d)100%
5. You discover that a certain dealer, due to his highly mechanized shuffle,
always has the cards in a predictable order. If you can determine the pattern of
the cards, you will always know the next card to be dealt. What card will be
dealt next after this sequence: K, 10, 9, J, Q, J, 8, Q, J, Q, 7, K?
Solutions
1. You know that there are only 6 cards remaining, since you are counting the
exact number of cards played. If your teammate who is keeping the unbalanced
tencount is accurate in signaling that his running count is 2, then you know
that all remaining cards must be nontens. (This count system will always end at
a running count of +4 if you count down a full deck. Only 6 nontens, valued at
+1 each, could bring about this result.) Since you are keeping a sidecount of
aces, and you know that all 4 aces have been played, then all remaining cards
can only be 2s, 3s, 4s, 5s, 6s, 7s, as, or 9s. Since the HiLo counter has
signalled you that his running count is 0, and you know that no tens or aces are
remaining, then all remaining cards must be valued at 0 in the HiLo count
system. You cannot have any HiLo plusvalued cards remaining, or the HiLo
running count would not equal 0. Therefore, you know that all six remaining
cards, including the dealer's hole card, are 7s, 8s or 9s. Since your hand
totals hard 12, any hit you take will have to give you a total of 19, 20, or 21.
Since the dealer has an 8 up, and either a 7, or 8, or 9 in the hole, he will
either have a pat 17 (89), or he will be stiff, take a hit, and bust. You
cannot lose this hand if you take just one card, so your correct play is to
double down.
2. Since the dealer's upcard is a 9, the dealer will not check her hole
card. (Hole cards are checked only when the dealer has a 10 or Ace, remember?)
No dealer can give a tell, if she does not know what her hole card is, so your
best play is to hit.
3. If you examine all possibilities, the first thing you would discover is
that it is virtually impossible to hold any combination of cards totaling hard
12, which contains either a 4 or a 5, without also containing one of Revere's 14
listed pairs. Since 10 of Revere's pairs contain a 4 or a 5 (or both), you can
eliminate all 10 of these pairs with the simple rule: Stand on 12 vs. 3 if any
one of your cards is a 4 or 5. The next thing you would notice is that of the 4
remaining pairs, any combination of cards which would contain any one of these
pairs, and equal 12, would contain one of two of the 4 remaining pairs: A3, or
26. Thus, the simplified rule would be: Stand on 12 vs. 3 if two of your cards
are A3 or 26, or if one of your cards is a 4 or 5.
4. d) Your optimum
strategy in Blackjacarat, as described, would be to place all bets on the
dealer's hand, then continue to hit every player hand, including naturals, until
you busted. This would give you an advantage of 100% over the house. Experts may
employ a few fine points of basic strategy, such as splitting and resplitting
all pairs, then hitting all of these hands until they busted. The one exception
would be that you would never split aces, since these hands would draw only one
card each, often resulting in a player win. You could increase your 5perhour
win rate by employing a number of sophisticated doubledown strategies. While it
would be profitable to double down on hard hands of 12 through 20 vs. any dealer
upcard, these plays would lower your win rate to slightly under 100%, since the
player would occasionally win. But we'll get into these fine points of play as
soon as Vegas World offers a version of this game.
5. The pattern here becomes obvious if you list the cards in sets of four,
then read down the columns. The next card to be dealt is a 10: K, 10, 9,
J, Q, J, 8, Q, J, Q, 7, K, ?
Scoring
Give yourself 20% for each correct answer. No partial credit. If you
scored:
100%: Perfect! You are indeed a blackjack expert. You'd be a welcome
addition to any professional team . . . as long as you didn't cheat!
80%: You're far above average in your dedication to, and comprehension of, blackjack in particular and puzzles in general. You'd probably be a millionaire if you weren't so obsessed with this game. Don't you have anything better to do with your brilliant mind?
60%: This score may have flunked you in high school,
but in this test it's a good, solid pass. But don't gloat. You just made it,
bub.
40%: Yeah, but can you count cards? I mean, hey, so you didn't have the
time to spend on this silly test. After reading the answers you knew you would
have gotten them all correct if you just would have put your mind to it, right?
Right?
20%: Your subscription to Blackjack Forum is hereby cancelled.
You must donate S100 to the First Church of Blackjack to reinstate your
subscription.
0%: I hear they're hiring pit bosses for the $2 games in
Fargo, North Dakota. Send for an application form. You qualify. ♠
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